Turning Flood Data into Action: How Project ENKI Is Reshaping Risk Intelligence
- Audree Grubesic

- 1 day ago
- 3 min read
Part 3 of 3 of this High Performance Series with Mark Wille and Featuring Dr. Tracy Fanara
At Offsite Dirt Network, we often explore the intersection of construction, infrastructure, and environmental resilience.
But as climate events intensify, one thing is becoming increasingly clear — building smarter also requires understanding water, weather, and risk at a deeper level.
In this conversation, Mark Wille sits down with environmental scientist and hydrology expert Dr. Tracy Fanara to discuss Project ENKI — the Emergency Network Turning Knowledge into Actionable Intelligence — and how it’s transforming flood forecasting into real-world, actionable insight.
From Data to Decision-Making
Project ENKI was designed to bridge a critical gap.
While federal agencies provide vast amounts of hydrologic and meteorological data, much of it isn’t easily digestible for homeowners, developers, or municipalities.
ENKI transforms this complex data into consumable intelligence — helping people understand how flooding could impact their specific homes, neighborhoods, and infrastructure.
The mission is simple: turn knowledge into action before disaster strikes.
Lessons from Extreme Weather Events
The urgency behind ENKI’s development accelerated following major flood events — including the July 4th flooding disaster in Texas.
Despite accurate meteorological forecasting, the challenge wasn’t predicting rainfall — it was understanding how that rainfall translated into hydrologic impact.
In regions like Texas Hill Country, narrow watersheds create hyper-localized flooding risks.
Rainfall in one watershed may produce catastrophic flooding while neighboring areas remain unaffected.
This disconnect between meteorology and hydrology is exactly what ENKI aims to solve.
Storm Surge: When Water Moves Fast
Tracy also shares firsthand experience with hurricane storm surge — one of the most misunderstood flood threats.
Unlike gradual flooding, storm surge behaves like a wall of water, rising rapidly and inundating structures within minutes.
Even with advance warning, many residents underestimate surge severity — particularly in areas without prior flooding history.
The result can be devastating property loss, structural damage, and displacement.
Communicating risk effectively becomes just as important as predicting it.

Flash Flooding After Drought
Another major risk factor discussed is post-drought flooding.
When soil experiences prolonged dry periods, it becomes compacted and loses its ability to absorb water.
Instead of infiltrating the ground, rainfall runs off rapidly — creating dangerous flash flood conditions.
Steep terrain only amplifies the threat, making regions like canyon systems and hill country especially vulnerable.
Burn Scars & Hydrophobic Soil
Wildfire-impacted regions face an additional layer of flood risk.
After vegetation burns, chemical reactions within the soil can create hydrophobic — water-repellent — surfaces.
This causes rainfall to move even faster across the landscape, increasing runoff velocity and flash flooding potential.
Recent atmospheric river events impacting wildfire burn zones demonstrate how compounded climate events can escalate disaster risk.

Atmospheric Rivers & Predictive Coordination
Atmospheric rivers — essentially “rivers in the sky” — carry massive volumes of moisture across regions before releasing intense rainfall.
When these systems make landfall, particularly in mountainous terrain, precipitation can fall in extreme volumes.
However, advancements in forecasting and emergency coordination have improved response outcomes.
In recent events, predictive modeling enabled evacuations, National Guard mobilization, and interagency communication — preventing large-scale loss of life.
It’s proof that data, when communicated effectively, saves lives.
The Future: Ecological Forecasting
Looking ahead, Tracy’s work is expanding beyond hydrology alone.
Her vision integrates:
• Meteorology
• Hydrology
• Ecology
• Water quality
• Public health impacts
As Chair of the Ecological Forecasting Committee for the American Meteorological Society, she’s working to bridge environmental science with predictive modeling — helping communities understand not just flooding risk, but ecosystem and health consequences tied to climate events.
Education, Technology & Public Awareness
Through platforms like Inspector Planet and citizen science initiatives, Tracy continues to focus on education and accessibility.
From environmental reporting apps to youth science programs and storm-chasing media initiatives, the goal remains consistent — make complex science understandable and actionable for everyday communities.
Because preparedness begins with awareness.
FAQs
1. What is Project ENKI?
Project ENKI (Emergency Network Turning Knowledge into Actionable Intelligence) converts hydrologic and weather data into user-friendly flood risk insights for communities.
2. Why is hydrology different from rainfall forecasting?
Rainfall forecasting predicts precipitation, while hydrology determines how water behaves once it hits the ground — including runoff, flooding, and surge impacts.
3. What are atmospheric rivers?
Atmospheric rivers are large airborne moisture systems that transport massive amounts of water vapor, often causing extreme rainfall and flooding when they make landfall.




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